Written by Timothy Rich. Han Kuo-yu surprised many observers with his victory in the Kaohsiung mayoral race in November, the clearest example last year of a Kuomintang (KMT) candidate faring above expectations in a south historically dominated by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). This “Han wave” now appears to have propelled Han as a viable presidential candidate for the January 2020 elections…
Taiwan’s 2020 Election: The Making of the Pro-China and Anti-China Blocks in Taiwanese Society
Written by Ljavakaw Tjaljimaraw. Ma Ying-jeou’s two-term presidency between 2008 and 2016 represented a short window of laying Taiwanese society wide open to China’s United Front infiltrations before the election of Donald Trump in the US unveiled a new era referred to as the “New Cold War” or the “Cool War.”
Taiwan’s 2020 Election: The KMT’s Downturn and the DPP’s Emergence in the Game of Thrones
Written by Ljavakaw Tjaljimaraw. This strategy did work in the short run in terms of party competition. From 2000 to 2008, the DPP, despite playing as Team America B, found itself caught between two unfavourable situations. On the one hand, the KMT’s “Go West” advocates stirred up an avaricious “China craze” of United Front-driven bonuses, bribes, or subsidies handed out to people from all walks of life.
Taiwan’s 2020 Election: A Battle between Team America and Team China
Written by Ljavakaw Tjaljimaraw. While Taiwan is still in a state of limbo over who will win out among the candidates running for the presidency, the overall pattern of the 2020 election is becoming quite clear: it will be, for the first time, a battle between “Team America” and “Team China,” instead of the competition between Team America A and Team America B that appeared in the course of Taiwan’s democratisation in the 1990s.
Does the state of the economy matter when explaining presidential approval ratings in Taiwan?
Written by Eric Chen-hua Yu. Empirical studies on presidential approval ratings in the US and other OECD countries have long concluded that the state of the economy is an important factor explaining the rise and fall of presidential approval ratings. Specifically, when economic conditions are good, the sentiment toward the president will be positive. In light of this correlation, does the presidential approval rating in Taiwan follow such a pattern?
The Mess Before the Storm: Making Sense of the Blue and Green Camps’ Primaries
Written by J. Michael Cole. In recent months, no subject has been brought up more often by Taiwan watchers than the party infighting that has been developing within the blue and green camps in the lead-up to Taiwan’s general elections next January. Much of that interest stems from the impact that the candidate selection, and of course the election itself, will have on Taiwan’s future external policy at a time of unprecedented engagement opportunities for the island-nation.
“Election” as a Consensus: The Changing Connotation of Taiwanese Local Autonomy in Postwar East Asia (1945–1947)
Written by Chao-Hsuan Chen. In the past two decades, a number of researchers have sought to determine how the process of social protest after 1970s became the turning point in Taiwan’s democratization. However, the authoritarian Kuomintang’s (KMT) process of shaping the local electoral system, especially in the 1950s, has seldom been the subject of concern.
What does China think about the elections that were held in Taiwan in November 2018?
Written by Mark Lai. This question was repeatedly met with a firm stance by the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council (TAO) in Beijing.
China’s Meddling in the 2018 Taiwan Local Election
Written by Yu-Hua Chen. Taiwan completed its nine-in-one local election on 24 November 2018, which ended up with a historical defeat of the ruling Democratic
Three Public Opinion Trends Paved the Way for the DPP’s Defeat
Written by Dongtao Qi. The results of Taiwan’s 2018 nine-in-one local elections surprised many observers. Surely many of them had been anticipating the DPP’s loss
Some Early Thoughts on the Taiwan 2018 Elections and Referendums in an International Context- Part Two
Written by Ian Inkster, Mark Wenyi Lai and Victoria Hsin Hsin Chang. Identity Politics in the International Context The global thesis is that industrial democracies
Some Early Thoughts on the Taiwan 2018 Elections and Referendums in an International Context- Part One
Written by Ian Inkster, Mark Wenyi Lai and Victoria Hsin Hsin Chang. The academic commentaries now hitting the scene in the Taiwanese newspapers and social