Written by Novatus Joseph Igosha. This article argues that the equilibrium restraining cross-Strait conflict is weakening as military pressure, technological competition and strategic uncertainty reshape incentives in Beijing, Taipei and Washington. From an African perspective, it explains how instability could disrupt semiconductor supply chains, increase technology costs and hinder digital development across the continent.
Cheng Li-wun’s China Gamble
Written by Tin Pak and Sam Lee. This article suggests that Cheng Li-wun’s conciliatory approach towards Beijing risks deepening divisions within the KMT while alienating moderate Taiwanese voters. Her strategy is driven by a desire to position herself as Taiwan’s “peace” candidate, but could instead produce a major KMT defeat in the local elections, increasing her chance of being ousted.
