Taiwan Is Not a Bargaining Chip: Agency and Deterrence after the Donald Trump – Xi Jinping Summit

Written by Wai Yan Phyo Naing. The latest Trump-Xi summit highlights the risks of treating Taiwan as a bargaining chip amid shifting US-China relations. This article argues that Taiwan should avoid romanticising Taiwan-US relations and assess commitments through concrete actions, strengthen asymmetric defence and societal resilience, and deepen cooperation with regional partners to preserve deterrence and regional stability.

Rehearsing the First Hour

Written By Meng Kit Tang. This article examines what Taiwan’s Han Kuang 42 exercise and China’s expanding mock-Taipei training facilities reveal about how both sides are preparing for the opening hours of a Taiwan Strait conflict. It argues that both sides are preparing for the same strategic problem from opposite directions: Taiwan is trying to preserve time and China is preparing to compress that window.

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The “One China” Policy and Status Quo in the Taiwan Strait: A Gambit of Strategic Ambiguity

Written by Lourdes Ames-Rodriguez. “One China” and “status quo” are two contested concepts at the centre of the cross-Strait tension. This article argues that while differing interpretations of the concepts have been instrumental in maintaining short-term peace in the Taiwan Strait, they ultimately hinder prospects for a lasting, peaceful resolution by entrenching opposing positions and delaying necessary political decisions.  

Taiwanese Identity and the Correspondence to Democracy

Written by Josh Boynton. This article argues that Taiwan’s democratisation did more than just change how Taiwan was governed, but also allowed Taiwanese to publicly express who they thought they were. It created a new social and political experience that solidified into a unique Taiwanese identity and became a moderating force, especially for the younger generation who have no memory of authoritarian rule. 

Taiwan’s Democratisation and the Growth of Taiwanese Political Identity

Written by Will Foster. This article unpacks the emergence and development of a distinct Taiwanese political identity that was unleashed by its transition to democracy. It argues that democratisation shifted Taiwan’s identity away from the ROC’s claim over China to democratic self-determination of Taiwan’s future. It also enables the development of democratic values that shape its current tensions with China.

The Illusion of “Taiwan Doesn’t Have to Choose”

Written by Huynh Tam Sang and Truong Tuan Kiet. This article argues that Cheng Li-wun’s claim that “Taiwan doesn’t have to choose” is implausible and misaligned with the current geopolitical context. Taiwan must accept the painful reality that neutrality is an illusion. It does not have the luxury to simply opt out of the geopolitical tug-of-war between the U.S. and China and should adopt the “porcupine strategy”.

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