Borrowed Architecture: The EU Analogy, Cross-Strait Impasse, and the Limits of Opposition Diplomacy

Written by Meng Kit Tang. KMT Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun’s recently used the European Union as a model for cross-strait engagement. This article examines why the EU analogy has become a recurring feature of KMT discourse and whether the conditions that enabled European integration resemble those of the Taiwan Strait, arguing that key elements of postwar Europe are largely absent across the strait.

Between the Two Summits: Taiwan’s Quiet Marginalisation

Written by Meng Kit Tang. The piece examines how the recent Trump–Xi summit in Beijing reflected a broader shift in U.S.-China relations: Taiwan was increasingly treated as secondary to great-power stability. It argues that Beijing is combining diplomatic pressure, narrative shaping, and economic leverage to constrain Taiwan internationally, while Washington prioritises predictability and managed competition with China.

Taiwan’s Diplomatic Bridge: Taiwan-Somaliland-Israel vs China in the Horn of Africa

Written by Faisal Abdirashid Adam. This article demonstrates that Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, grounded in five years of Taiwan–Somaliland cooperation, marks a significant geopolitical shift in the Horn of Africa. It argues that sustained collaboration in maritime security, agriculture, healthcare, and governance transformed diplomatic isolation into strategic credibility, enabling formal recognition. At the same time, the move has intensified regional and global tensions, particularly with China and neighbouring states wary of sovereignty disputes and shifting power balances.

Facing the Uncertainty of Trump’s Taiwan Policy: Taiwan’s diplomatic, economic, and military approaches to address the significant challenge

Written by Baosheng Guo. This article analyses Taiwan’s options in the face of Trump’s uncertain and unpredictable Taiwan policy. It suggests that Taiwan should urge the US to provide strategic clarity and strengthen its relationship with Europe. Taiwan should also weaponise the interdependence of its semiconductor industry with the US and prepare to restart its research and development of nuclear weapons.

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