Taiwan in 2024: Geopolitical Uncertainties

Written by Dr Chieh-chi HSIEH. This article argues that the path dependencies of the Taiwanese, US, Japanese, and South Korean governments encountered a change of political leadership in 2024, which created some uncertainties for Taiwan in 2025. They are compounded by the conservative stance of President Lai Ching-te towards President Trump since the latter’s election.

Taiwan in South Asia: Engagement, Opportunities & Constraints

Written by Raian Hossain. This article examines Taiwan’s relations and engagement in South Asia, with reference to the cases of India and Bangladesh. It argues that Taiwan has great potential in the region. Taiwan should strategise to interact with different South Asian countries based on their own merit and limitations and find areas of mutual interest to increase its regional footprint.

The U.S.-Taiwan Relations under Trump 2.0 

Written by Fang-Yu Chen. This article examines how a potential second Trump presidency could reshape U.S.-Taiwan relations, highlighting that while core policies may remain stable, Trump’s transactional approach and rhetoric could affect bilateral ties and public perception. It also emphasizes that Taiwan must strengthen its multi-faceted diplomatic strategies to maintain international support for Taiwan Strait issues, regardless of U.S. leadership changes.

How Will Taiwan Cope with Trump?

Written by Brian Hioe. This article discusses how can Taiwan responds to Trump’s election better than in 2016. Although the structural conditions remain the same, Taiwan may seek to reassure Trump on security, trade and industrial policy. Taiwan also needs a strategy to forge regional and international links to mitigate the uncertainty of a second Trump presidency.

The Promise of a Return to Taiwan in Recent Election Campaigns: Federated States of Micronesia, Solomon Islands, and Honduras 

Written by Jess Marinaccio. This article highlights the cases of the Federal States of Micronesia, Solomon Islands, and Honduras, where restoring diplomatic relations with Taiwan has become a talking point in election campaigns. While many analysts are concerned about Taiwan’s “diplomatic zero” situation, this article argues that the possibility of restoring broken diplomatic ties remains open for Taiwan’s recently departed allies.

Is it the End for Taiwan and Pacific Regionalism? Controversy at the 53rd Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) Leaders Meeting in Tonga

Written by Jess Marinaccio. This article examines the 53rd Leaders Meeting of the Pacific Islands Forum, taking place from 26 to 30 August 2024. It highlights the several controversies that Taiwan was embroiled in during the Meeting, particularly in regard to Taiwan’s position as a PIF “development partner” despite objections from China.

An era of change: Taiwan’s unofficial diplomacy in Eastern Europe during the Tsai Ing-Wen presidency

Written by Eason Leung. This article examines the unofficial diplomacy of Taiwan in Eastern Europe. It identifies a flexible approach of Taiwan in dealing with various Eastern European nations – deepening ties with friendly nations such as Lithuania, Poland and the Czech Republic, while seeking trade and investments opportunities for countries with closer ties with China like Hungary. 

The trend of Grey Zone Conflict by China toward Taiwan during the presidency of Tsai Ing-Wen

Written by Ping-Yang Chao. This article examines China’s Grey Zone Conflict strategy employed since the Tsai Ing-wen’s presidency. These incursions became more frequent and intensive particularly after the visit of former US House speaker Nancy Pelosi. China is attempting to establish a “new normal” and intimidate Taiwan without triggering war and international intervention.

Taiwan will be the true test of the UK’s Indo-Pacific ambitions

Written by Andrew Yeh. This article argues that the new UK government should turn its attention to China’s escalating greyzone tactics against Taiwan, from large-scale military drills to cyber-attacks and coercive economic diplomacy. The UK and its allies should raise the cost of PRC’s aggressions, strengthen Taiwan’s resilience and work with allies to reaffirm the international rules-based order.

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