Written by Mark Wenyi Lai. Ko has seized swing voters from the KMT’s pocket and pushed KMT to the far-right. The stronger this far-right narrative becomes, the greater the swing to pan-green votes. Thus, the weaker the KMT becomes, the more likely that Ko will join the race. The more Ko believes he will win, the more likely that pan-green voters will side with Tsai.
Written by Dongtao Qi. Since the DPP was trounced by the KMT in the November 2018 nine-in-one local elections, most public opinion polls found that compared to other possible presidential candidates, popular support for president Tsai in the lead up to the 2020 presidential election was consistently the lowest. However, about six months before the 2020 presidential election, many polls showed a surprising turn…
Written by Yu-tzung Chang. (…) Taiwanese parties have been “captured” and “marginalised”, gradually losing their vital functions such as political recruitment and aggregation of interests. Parties have become little more than support acts for politicians. The result will be increasingly fluid and polarised politics that has hidden dangers for Taiwan’s democracy.
Written by Mei-chuan Wei.
Given the unexpected scenarios in the KMT and DPP primary elections and the aforementioned complex factors that have always impacted upon Taiwan’s politics, the outcome of Taiwan’s 2020 presidential election is uncertain. Another uncertain element is Taipei City Mayor and former doctor at the prestigious National Taiwan University Hospital, Ko Wen-je.
Written by Gerrit van der Wees. In mid-August 2018, Taiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen undertook her fifth journey abroad since taking office. The nine-day state visit
Written by Mark Lai. Last month, President Tsai Ing-wen visited Paraguay and Belize, two of the handful countries that still have formal diplomatic relations with
Written by Joseph Bosco. When two U.S. Navy destroyers passed through the international waters of the Taiwan Strait in early July, the head of China’s
Written by Kharis Templeman. Before the 2016 election brought them to power, Tsai Ing-wen and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) pledged to pursue political reforms
Written by John F. Copper. On May 1st 2018, the Dominican Republic established diplomatic relations with China and broke ties with Taiwan. It was one
Written by Selcuk Colakoglu. During the early stages of the Cold War, Turkey was one of the many countries looking to recognise the Republic of China
Written by Michal Thim. Cross-Strait relations took off in 2018 with a dispute over new commercial air routes launched by China. In a move that reneged on
Written by Sheryn Lee. After being elected on a high in 2016, President Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) administration faced the harsh realities